Estimated Count of Dec 2012 Southern Region Polling

• TN could have polled 7500+, out of which 4917 is from Chennai, balance from rest of TN
• KL could have polled 2000+, out of which 650 is from EKM
• KA could have polled 4000+, out of which 2998 is from Bengaluru
• AP could have polled 5000+, out of which 2900+ is from HYD
• In TOTO the total should be minimum of 18K+
• The quota for RC should be 1200+ and the quota for CC should be 2250+

Who will be first 3 this time in RC Elections? Any Wild Guess.....

S.No	Name	Place	First Count	Ranking
4	CA. Babu Abraham	Kochi	953	1
16	CA. Prasanna Kumar D.	Visakhapatnam	940	2
29	CA. Suresh P.R.	Bangalore	882	3
15	CA. Phalguna Kumar E.	Tirupati	786	4
35	CA. Viswanath K.	Bangalore	729	5
10	CA. Murali S.	Coimbatore	695	6
22	CA. Shanmukha Sundaram K.	Coimbatore	657	7
25	CA. Srinivas C.S.	Bangalore	646	8
26	CA. Sumermal D. Ostawal	Hubli	611	9
18	CA. Rajgopal A.	Madurai	607	10
17	CA. Rajarajeswaran P.V.	Bangalore	564	11
6	CA. Gopal Krishna Raju	Chennai	540	12
13	CA. Naresh Chandra Gelli V.	Hyderabad	531	13
14	CA. Pankaj Kumar Trivedi	Hyderabad	520	14
3	CA. Aruloli P.R.	Chennai	499	15
1	CA. Alagappan V.	Tiruchirapalli	490	16
21	CA. Satyanarayana GVV	Vijayawada	470	17
8	CA. Jose V X	Kochi	429	18
2	CA. Amrit Kumar K.	Hyderabad	402	19
7	CA. Gopalakrishnan T.R.	Chennai	386	20
24	CA. Sivakumar R.	Chennai	383	21
32	CA. Tony M P	Thrissur	299	22
30	CA. Tara Chand Mehta	Bangalore	287	23
19	CA. Ramamoorthy V.	Chennai	282	24
11	CA. Muralidharan K.P.	Chennai	251	25
27	CA. Sunil Kumar Jain P.	Chennai	247	26
5	CA. Chakra Pani B	Hyderabad	217	27
20	CA. Ranjit Karthikeyan M R	Thiruvananthapuram	211	28
23	CA. Shenbagamoorthy C.	Sivakasi	198	29
34	CA. Venkatesu Reddy T.	Tirupati	170	30
33	CA. Umamaheswara Rao O.K.	Chennai	158	31
28	CA. Suresh Kumar N.	Kollam	146	32
9	CA. Mohamed Shafi M.A.	Chennai	119	33
31	CA. Thomachen T.A.	Thrissur	104	34
12	CA. Nagaraja Gupta P.V.	Bangalore	91	35
		TOTAL VOTES	15,500

The above list is the first count results during the 2009 elections. The highlighted ones are the candidates who are contesting in 2012 elections.

Who will be the probable top three first count contestants? Any Guess.........!!!!!!!

Quota - Demystified

Quota

The quota (sometimes called the threshold) is the number of votes a candidate must receive to be elected. The Hare quota and the Droop quota are commonly used to determine the quota.

HARE Quota:

When Thomas Hare originally conceived his version of Single Transferable Vote, he envisioned using the quota:

Quota =	Votes polled
	Available Seats

 

In the unlikely event that each successful candidate receives exactly the same number of votes not enough candidates can meet the quota and fill the available seats in one count. Thus the last candidate cannot not meet the quota, and it may be fairer to eliminate that candidate. 

To avoid this situation, it is common instead to use the Droop quota, which is always lower than the Hare quota.

DROOP quota: (ICAI  Method)

The most common quota formula is the Droop quota which given as: 

Quota =	(Votes polled)	+ 1
	(Available Seats + 1)

Droop produces a lower quota than Hare. If each ballot has a full list of preferences, Droop guarantees that every winner meets the quota rather than being elected as the last remaining candidate after lower candidates are eliminated. The fractional part of the resulting number, if any, is dropped (the result is rounded down to the next whole number.)

It is only necessary to allocate enough votes to ensure that no other candidate still in contention could win. This leaves nearly one quota's worth of votes unallocated, but counting these would not alter the outcome.

Droop is the only whole-number threshold for which 

(a) a majority of the voters can be guaranteed to elect a majority of the seats when there is an odd number of seats; 

(b) for a fixed number of seats.

Each winner's surplus votes transfer to other candidates according to their remaining preferences. 

Proportional Representation

Proportional Representation or Single Transferable System of Voting

Single Transferable Vote

What: The single transferable vote (STV) is a voting system designed to achieve proportional representation through ranked voting. Under STV, an elector's vote is initially allocated to his or her most preferred candidate, and then, after candidates have been either elected or eliminated, any surplus or unused votes are transferred according to the voter's stated preferences. 

Why: The system minimizes "wasted" votes, provides approximately proportional representation, and enables votes to be explicitly cast for individual candidates rather than for closed syndicate of contestants. 

How: It achieves this by using multi-seat constituencies (different regions) and by transferring votes to other eligible candidates that would otherwise be wasted on sure losers or sure winners.

Andrew Inglis Clark

ICAI Elections: A modified version of STV, known as the Hare–Clark system, is used in ICAI elections. The name is derived from Thomas Hare, who initially developed the system and the Tasmanian Attorney General, Andrew Inglis Clark, who worked to have a modified version introduced. Its critics contend that some voters find the mechanisms behind STV difficult to understand, but this does not make it more difficult for voters to 'rank the list of candidates in order of preference' in an STV ballot paper.

Thomas Hare

History of STV: The concept of transferable voting was first proposed by Thomas Wright Hill in 1821. The system remained unused in real elections until 1855, when Carl Andræ proposed a transferable vote system for elections in Denmark. Andræ's system was used in 1856 to elect the Danish Rigsraad, and by 1866 it was also adapted for indirect elections to the second chamber, the Landsting, until 1915.

RC Candidates DOB and Age

S No	Name of the Candidate	PLACE	State	DOB	AGE
1	ADUSUMILLI VENKATESWARA RAO	HYDERABAD	AP	10-Jun-1962	50.5
2	ALAGAPPAN V	TIRUCHIRAPALLI	TN	7-Apr-1967	45.7
3	AMRIT KUMAR K	HYDERABAD	AP	28-Jun-1960	52.4
4	ARULOLI P R	CHENNAI	TN	25-Sep-1966	46.2
5	BHAGERIA VIJAY KUMAR	SECUNDERABAD	AP	8-May-1977	35.6
6	DHAVALAGI CHANDRAMAPPA RAMANNA	HUBLI	KA	8-Jul-1969	43.4
7	GOPAL KRISHNA RAJU	CHENNAI	TN	3-Jul-1974	38.4
8	GOPALAKRISHNAN T R	CHENNAI	TN	29-Jul-1972	40.4
9	HARIHARAN C S	CHENNAI	TN	7-Mar-1968	44.8
10	JOMON K GEORGE	KOCHI	KL	27-May-1967	45.5
11	JOSE V X	KOCHI	KL	16-Mar-1966	46.7
12	JOSEPH ARPUTHA RAJ A	PANRUTI	TN	24-May-1972	40.5
13	KUNDA RAMA NARAYANA	VIJAYAWADA	AP	21-Jan-1981	31.9
14	MAHESWARAN R	COIMBATORE	TN	29-Jun-1960	52.4
15	MOHAMED SHAFI M A	CHENNAI	TN	30-Jul-1947	65.4
16	MURALIDHARAN K P	CHENNAI	TN	18-Nov-1961	51.1
17	NARESH CHANDRA GELLI V	HYDERABAD	AP	19-Jan-1965	47.9
18	NITHIN M	BANGALORE	KA	12-Jun-1976	36.5
19	PHALGUNA KUMAR E	TIRUPATI	AP	15-Jul-1955	57.4
20	PRASANNA KUMAR D	VISAKHAPATNAM	AP	22-Jul-1960	52.4
21	RAJARAJESWARAN P V	MADURAI	TN	6-Jul-1958	54.4
22	SATHYAMOORTHY N	CHENNAI	TN	31-Jul-1975	37.4
23	SEKKIZHAR B	HYDERABAD	AP	14-Jun-1969	43.5
24	SHENBAGAMOORTHY C	SIVAKASI	TN	15-May-1957	55.6
25	SIVARAM B K	AYYAMPET	TN	30-Jul-1967	45.4
26	SRINIVAS C S	BANGALORE	KA	16-Aug-1970	42.3
27	SRIPRIYA K Ms.	CHENNAI	TN	26-Sep-1973	39.2
28	SUBRAMONIYA SARMA N	THIRUVANANTHAPURAM	KL	29-May-1967	45.5
29	SUMERMAL D OSTAWAL	HUBLI	KA	28-Aug-1958	54.3
30	SUNIL KUMAR JAIN P	CHENNAI	TN	23-Sep-1960	52.2
31	SURESH P R	BANGALORE	KA	16-Sep-1963	49.2
32	UMAMAHESWARA RAO O K	CHENNAI	TN	21-May-1971	41.6
33	VELURI YASASWY SARMA	CHENNAI	TN	16-Jul-1988	24.4
34	VENKATESU REDDY T	TIRUPATI	AP	14-Jun-1969	43.5

RC Candidates Contact

S No	Name of the Candidate	PLACE	State	Mobile #
1	ADUSUMILLI VENKATESWARA RAO	HYDERABAD	AP	9246539869
2	ALAGAPPAN V	TIRUCHIRAPALLI	TN	9443155544
3	AMRIT KUMAR K	HYDERABAD	AP	9391009332
4	ARULOLI P R	CHENNAI	TN	9884061348
5	BHAGERIA VIJAY KUMAR	SECUNDERABAD	AP	9391165099
6	DHAVALAGI CHANDRAMAPPA RAMANNA	HUBLI	KA	9448111377
7	GOPAL KRISHNA RAJU	CHENNAI	TN	9840063269
8	GOPALAKRISHNAN T R	CHENNAI	TN	9841095608
9	HARIHARAN C S	CHENNAI	TN	9840181312
10	JOMON K GEORGE	KOCHI	KL	9847031343
11	JOSE V X	KOCHI	KL	9447043816
12	JOSEPH ARPUTHA RAJ A	PANRUTI	TN	9842677056
13	KUNDA RAMA NARAYANA	VIJAYAWADA	AP	9849420772
14	MAHESWARAN R	COIMBATORE	TN	9894070752
15	MOHAMED SHAFI M A	CHENNAI	TN	9941141237
16	MURALIDHARAN K P	CHENNAI	TN	9840044038
17	NARESH CHANDRA GELLI V	HYDERABAD	AP	9849165491
18	NITHIN M	BANGALORE	KA	9945682356
19	PHALGUNA KUMAR E	TIRUPATI	AP	9441886303
20	PRASANNA KUMAR D	VISAKHAPATNAM	AP	9848192636
21	RAJARAJESWARAN P V	MADURAI	TN	9843036311
22	SATHYAMOORTHY N	CHENNAI	TN	9444130300
23	SEKKIZHAR B	HYDERABAD	AP	9949358838
24	SHENBAGAMOORTHY C	SIVAKASI	TN	9443131792
25	SIVARAM B K	AYYAMPET	TN	9443678515
26	SRINIVAS C S	BANGALORE	KA	9845063387
27	SRIPRIYA K Ms.	CHENNAI	TN	9841026973
28	SUBRAMONIYA SARMA N	THIRUVANANTHAPURAM	KL	9847065706
29	SUMERMAL D OSTAWAL	HUBLI	KA	9448115971
30	SUNIL KUMAR JAIN P	CHENNAI	TN	9962699000
31	SURESH P R	BANGALORE	KA	9845058988
32	UMAMAHESWARA RAO O K	CHENNAI	TN	9884083971
33	VELURI YASASWY SARMA	CHENNAI	TN	7200324403
34	VENKATESU REDDY T	TIRUPATI	AP	9246998838