Saturday, December 22, 2012

WIRC Eliminations going on today 22nd Dec


Folks,

WIRC eliminations going on….now…

Possibility of completing WIRC CC eliminations will be today..

WIRC RC eliminations also going on….maximum today evening/night WIRC will be completed.

100% SIRC ballot boxes will be opened tomorrow.

Keeping guessing folks…..

The Game begins now….
-    

    


CC Contestants DOB and Age


The following is the list of CC contestants and their age 


S.No Name PLACE State DOB AGE
1 AMBIKA S Ms.  HYDERABAD AP 6-Jun-1964 48.5
2 BABU ABRAHAM KALLIVAYALIL  KOCHI KL 31-Jul-1961 51.4
3 BALACHANDRA PRABHU S B  KOCHI  KL 17-Nov-1953 59.1
4 DEVARAJA REDDY M  HYDERABAD AP 1-Aug-1961 51.4
5 MADHUKAR NARAYAN HIREGANGE  BANGALORE KA 10-Aug-1960 52.4
6 MURALI V  CHENNAI TN 15-Nov-1959 53.1
7 RAGHU K  BANGALORE KA 9-Oct-1965 47.2
8 RAJENDRA KUMAR P  CHENNAI TN 13-May-1970 42.6
9 RAMAKRISHNAN R  BANGALORE KA 6-Jul-1952 60.5
10 RAVI SANKAR L  CHENNAI TN 31-Aug-1958 54.3
11 SABU THOMAS  THIRUVANANTHAPURAM KL 30-Mar-1975 37.7
12 SANTHANA KRISHNAN S  CHENNAI TN 1-Nov-1950 62.1
13 SATYANARAYANA G V V  VIJAYAWADA AP 10-Jan-1952 61.0
14 SEKAR G  CHENNAI TN 22-May-1962 50.6
15 SHANMUKHA SUNDARAM K  COIMBATORE TN 15-Nov-1956 56.1
16 SRIKANTH S  CHENNAI TN 26-Jan-1966 46.9
17 SRINIVAS K J D  VISAKHAPATNAM AP 24-Aug-1965 47.3
18 SRIVATSAN S  TIRUCHIRAPALLI TN 14-Feb-1957 55.9
19 SUNEEL KUMAR APPAJI  HYDERABAD AP 4-Jul-1971 41.5
20 VEDANTHA RAMANUJAM J  CHENNAI TN 25-Apr-1956 56.7
21 VENKATESWARLU J  HYDERABAD AP 1-Jun-1960 52.6
22 VENKATRAM C  HYDERABAD AP 8-Nov-1961 51.1
23 VENUGOPAL SWAMI B  HYDERABAD AP 1-Jun-1975 37.6











Friday, December 21, 2012

A Parable on ICAI Election System of Proportional Representation

A Parable on ICAI Election System of Proportional Representation

(By means of Single Transferable Vote)

Whether Corporates in India explore the option of section 265 of the companies act, for proportional representation in Board or not, ICAI for the past 20 elections to central council and 21 elections to the regional councils has left and right explored the system of proportional representation to the periphery.
The starting point is Rule 19 of the Chartered Accountants (Election to the Council) Rules, 2006, where the Mode of Election for ICAI is prescribed.
  • The System: Rule 19(1): The election must be held in accordance with the System of Proportional Representation by means of a Single Transferable Vote. (STV). This system has seen 20+ ICAI Elections in the past 60+ years history of ICAI
  • The diffident Condition: Rule 19(2): Vote to be cast by secret ballot only and every voter in any election should cast his vote personally in the booth. This condition in this hyper-techno age is highly debatable.
  • The Exception: Rule 19(3): The recording of votes through voting machines or internet – If determined by ICAI Council and approved by the Central Government. Its more than six years since the rule is made. I doubt will ever the 4 and 5 digit membership number members will vote electronically.

What is STV: The single transferable vote (STV) is a voting system designed to achieve proportional representation through ranked voting. Under STV, an elector's vote is initially allocated to his or her most preferred candidate, and then, after candidates have been either elected or eliminated, any surplus or unused votes are transferred according to the voter's stated preferences. The system minimizes "wasted" votes, provides approximately proportional representation, and enables votes to be explicitly cast for individual candidates. It achieves this by using multi-seat region (7 Central and 14 Regional for Southern Region) and by transferring votes to other eligible candidates that would otherwise be wasted on sure losers or sure winners.

150 year History of STV: The concept of transferable voting was first proposed by Thomas Wright Hill in 1821. The system remained unused in real elections until 1855, when Carl Andræ proposed a transferable vote system for elections in Denmark. Andræ's system was used in 1856 to elect the Danish Rigsraad.

Who: Although he was not the first to propose a system of transferable votes, the English barrister Thomas Hare is generally credited with the beginning of STV, and he may have independently developed the idea in 1857. Hare's view was that STV should be a means of "making the exercise of the suffrage a step in the elevation of the individual character, whether it is found in the majority or the minority." In Hare's original STV system, he further proposed that electors should have the opportunity of discovering which candidate their vote had ultimately counted for, to improve their personal connection with voting. This is unnecessary in modern STV elections, however, as an individual voter can discover how their vote was ultimately distributed by viewing detailed election results.


The Legendary Quota: The quota (threshold) is the number of votes a candidate must receive to be elected. The Hare quota and the Droop quota are commonly used to determine the quota. When Thomas Hare originally conceived his version of Single Transferable Vote, he envisioned using the quota as: [Votes Polled / seats]

The Hare Quota
H2D: In the unlikely event that each successful candidate receives exactly the same number of votes not enough candidates can meet the quota and fill the available seats in one count. There is probability the last candidate cannot meet the quota, and it may be fairer to eliminate that candidate.
To avoid this inept situation, it is common to use the Droop quota instead of Hare Quota, which is always lower than the Hare quota.

Droop quota: ICAI Method: (Rule 35, Schedule 8: Procedure for Counting of Votes and declaration of results)

The ICAI quota formula is the Droop quota which given as: [Votes polled / (seats + 1)] + 1
The Droop Quota
Droop produces a lower quota than Hare. If each ballot paper has a full list of preferences, Droop guarantees that every winner meets the quota rather than being elected as the last remaining candidate after lower candidates are eliminated. The fractional part of the resulting number, if any, is dropped (the result is rounded down to the next whole number.)
It is only necessary to allocate enough votes to ensure that no other candidate still in contention could win. This leaves nearly one quota's worth of votes unallocated, but counting these would not alter the outcome.
Droop is the only whole-number threshold for which
(a)   a majority of the voters can be guaranteed to elect a majority of the seats when there is an odd number of seats;
(b)   For a fixed number of seats.
Each winner's surplus votes transfer to other candidates according to their remaining preferences.

Counting Single Transferable Votes
The single transferable vote (STV) is a voting system based on proportional representation and ranked voting. Under STV, an elector's vote is initially allocated to his or her most-preferred candidate. After candidates have been either elected (winners) by reaching quota or eliminated (losers), surplus votes are transferred from winners to remaining candidates (hopefuls) according to the surplus ballots' ordered preferences.
The system minimizes "wasted" votes, provides approximately proportional representation, and enables votes to be explicitly cast for individual candidates rather than for closed party lists. A variety of algorithms (methods) carry out these transfers.


Counting rules

Under the single transferable vote system, votes are successively transferred to hopefuls from two sources:
·         Surplus votes (i.e. those in excess of the quota) of successful candidates
·         All votes of eliminated candidates.
The possible algorithms for doing this differ in detail, e.g., in the order of the steps. There is no general agreement on which is best, and the choice of exact method may affect the outcome.
1.    Compute the quota.
2.    Assign votes to candidates by first preferences.
3.    Declare as winners all candidates who received at least the quota.
4.    Transfer the excess votes from winners to hopefuls.
5.    Repeat step 2 to step 4 until new candidates are elected. (Caution: Under some systems, votes could be transferred in this step to earlier winners or losers. This might affect the outcome.)
If all seats have winners, the process is complete. Otherwise:
6.    Eliminate one or more candidates. Typically either the lowest candidate or all candidates whose combined votes are less than the vote of the lowest remaining candidate.
7.    Transfer the votes of the losers to continuing candidates are declared to be losers.
8.    Repeat step 2 to step 7 until all seats are full.



Thursday, December 20, 2012

Probable Top 10 - Central Council?


Garuda‘s vision:

The CC contestants who might be in top 10 (first count/preference votes) in no particular order
·         Murali V
·         Santhanakrishnan S
·         Rajendra Kumar P
·         Devaraja Reddy M
·         Venkateswarlu J
·         Raghu K
·         Madhukar Narayan Hiregange
·         Sekar G
·         Babu Abraham Kallivayalil
·         Shanmukha Sundaram K / Ravi Sankar L
Let’s wait for the Christmas Eve 24th evening to know the Garuda’s Guess is to what percent right!!!!!

Please wait, in the 2009 elections Devar was in 10th position and James was in 6th Position in first count.... Devar was in, James was left behind.....

So ...... keep speculating.... and enjoy every moment......


SIRC ballot boxes possibility of opening will be 24th December Noon...


19th December 2012: End of Day 1 of Vote Counting of WIRC:
  • ICAI staff must be complimented for quite a breathtaking speed in tallying votes! Total votes polled in WIRC is estimated to be 32K+. 100 boxes tallied so far...which comes to 14,791 votes.
  • All ballot boxes except Mumbai & Pune opened! 
  • Roughly another 18,000 votes more to be tallied on 20th December 2012 which should be hopefully over by 5pm.
  • If that be the case, we should have the 1st preference distribution starting around 6pm and should get over by 9pm.... we should know official count by 10:30pm/11pm...
  • Of course all this is contingent on things going as per plan!
  • Therefore, the preference distribution will start by 21st December 2012 and may go for two days or two and a half days maximum.

So...therefore SIRC ballot boxes possibility of opening will be 24th December Afternoon…

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Contact Numbers of Central Council Candidates


The following are the contact numbers of all the 23 contestants of the Central Council - Southern Region

S.No Name PLACE State Mobile
1 AMBIKA S Ms.  HYDERABAD AP 9848461131
2 BABU ABRAHAM KALLIVAYALIL  KOCHI KL 9446066600
3 BALACHANDRA PRABHU S B  KOCHI  KL 9846155766
4 DEVARAJA REDDY M  HYDERABAD AP 9399935799
5 MADHUKAR NARAYAN HIREGANGE  BANGALORE KA 9845011210
6 MURALI V  CHENNAI TN 9841040010
7 RAGHU K  BANGALORE KA 9341219091
8 RAJENDRA KUMAR P  CHENNAI TN 9444017087
9 RAMAKRISHNAN R  BANGALORE KA 9844008089
10 RAVI SANKAR L  CHENNAI TN 9840054748
11 SABU THOMAS  THIRUVANANTHAPURAM KL 9447035886
12 SANTHANA KRISHNAN S  CHENNAI TN 9841073008
13 SATYANARAYANA G V V  VIJAYAWADA AP 9849081461
14 SEKAR G  CHENNAI TN 9282104800
15 SHANMUKHA SUNDARAM K  COIMBATORE TN 9443349727
16 SRIKANTH S  CHENNAI TN 9840426166
17 SRINIVAS K J D  VISAKHAPATNAM AP 9848875118
18 SRIVATSAN S  TIRUCHIRAPALLI TN 9952427684
19 SUNEEL KUMAR APPAJI  HYDERABAD AP 9849010302
20 VEDANTHA RAMANUJAM J  CHENNAI TN 9840032860
21 VENKATESWARLU J  HYDERABAD AP 9392017738
22 VENKATRAM C  HYDERABAD AP 9951569009
23 VENUGOPAL SWAMI B  HYDERABAD AP 9849601695